Bitcoin price action remains under pressure as the year moves toward its final days. For BTC to close 2025 on a positive note, it must reclaim and hold above the $93,374 level, which marked the opening price of the year. Analysts say this level has become the key line separating a green yearly close from a red one.
Despite strong long-term optimism, Bitcoin has struggled to regain strength after repeated rejections near the $90,000 zone. The broader trend still favors buyers, but momentum has slowed compared to earlier phases of the cycle.
Bitcoin Faces Pressure After Failing to Hold $90,000
Souce: TradingView
Bitcoin price has shown sharp volatility since its rejection near the $90,000 mark. The rejection weakened bullish confidence and triggered a broader pullback across the crypto market.
Earlier in 2025, Bitcoin reached an all-time high near $125,000, leading many analysts to discuss the possibility of a move toward $250,000 before year-end. That optimism faded after a sharp market-wide sell-off in October wiped out billions in value.
Prediction markets now reflect caution. Current odds show only a 1% chance that Bitcoin will reclaim the $100,000 level before December 31.
At present, BTC trades around $87,983, placing it more than 6% below its yearly open of $93,374. For the year to close in positive territory, buyers must push the price higher in a short time frame.
Bitcoin Has Limited Time to Recover
Crypto analyst Puckrin noted that Bitcoin has just a few days left to recover if it wants to finish the year in green. If it fails, 2025 would become the first post-halving year in which Bitcoin ends lower than where it started.
The October market crash played a major role in weakening momentum. That event slowed capital inflows and reduced speculative activity across the crypto sector.
Even so, some analysts believe the broader trend remains intact. Bitcoin continues to trade above key long-term support levels, keeping hopes alive for a rebound.
Can Bitcoin Rally 6.24% Before Year-End?
Market watchers remain divided on whether Bitcoin can stage a late recovery. A move of roughly 6.24% is required for BTC to reclaim its yearly open.
According to analyst BrokeDoomer, Bitcoin is still respecting a rising support trendline that has held firm multiple times. This suggests buyers remain active, even though upward momentum has cooled.
On higher timeframes, Bitcoin’s structure mirrors patterns seen in early 2021 and early 2025. In both periods, price surged quickly, paused near the top, and then entered a slower consolidation phase.
Analyst Titan of Crypto points out that while Bitcoin remains elevated, momentum indicators are weakening. This often appears during the later stages of a cycle, when buyers begin to lose strength but the overall trend has not yet reversed.
If momentum returns, Bitcoin could still attempt another leg higher before the year ends.
Macro Factors Continue to Influence Bitcoin Price
Bitcoin’s recent weakness also reflects broader economic uncertainty. The asset has remained below its 365-day moving average since November, a level that previously acted as strong support during earlier rallies.
Interest rate expectations remain a key factor. While rate cuts usually benefit risk assets like Bitcoin, recent signals from the US Federal Reserve suggest caution.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell recently indicated that policymakers see limited room for immediate rate cuts. His comments reduced expectations for easing in the near term and added pressure to risk-on assets.
According to CME FedWatch data, only 15.5% of market participants expect a rate cut at the next meeting, reinforcing the cautious tone.
Outlook: Can Bitcoin Still End 2025 Strong?
Bitcoin’s path forward depends on whether buyers can regain control and push price back above critical resistance levels. A move above $93,374 would mark a positive yearly close and potentially restore confidence going into the new year.
For now, Bitcoin remains at a crossroads. The next few trading sessions will likely decide whether 2025 ends as a year of recovery or one defined by missed expectations.
